Sunday, May 02, 2010

The future of computing

  This article if kind of neat,  but I disagree.

  • Apple is going to lose with their current strategy because its competitors will not limit their customer base by locking them into a single hardware platform.  
  • Because non-apple hardware is open to all, including the forces of commoditization, it will always be  faster and cheaper, by contrast Apple's soul is in delivering slightly inferior hardware with a slick user interface at a premium price.  
  • Apple is a closed platform with rigid rules.  Innovators are going to get tired of asking for permission, and whatever inefficiencies arise from cross platform programming, will be overcome from the advances in hardware.
  • Local processing power and data storage are so cheap, we're never going to give them up.  Cloud computing will enhance what we have come to know as the computer, not replace it.
  • Large organizations will always shy away from giving up control.  Cloud computing at the corporate level is already being delivered by Microsoft, it is called SharePoint.  The only serious competitor is Google docs, which has the downside of not being completely private or completely under the owners control.  The latest version of MS Office only makes sense as a SharePoint terminal.
  • Upgrading is no longer self justifying; there are computers in the world today, that will still be in use 20 years from now, and will still be useful to the owners in a non-trivial way.  Therefore, the returns in trying to force people into a particular version of tommorowland are quickly diminishing.